

HANOI, Jan 28 (Reuters) - Vietnam's economic indicators .
* Updated CURRENCY/INTEREST RATES
Jan 28 Jan 30, 2012 Dec 28, 2012
Dollar/dong 20,828 20,828 20,828
The VN Index 479.60 384.94 413.73
______________________2012_______________________
DONG Dec 24 July 1 June 11 May 28 May 8 Apr 11 Mar 13
Deposit ceiling 2&9 2&9 #2&9 3&11 4&12 4&12 5&13
Base rate 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0
Discount rate 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 11.0 12.0
Refinance rate 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 13.0 14.0
Lending rate ~12.0 ~13.0 ~13.0 14.0 15.0
NOTES: # 2 pct is for non-term and those shorter than one month
9 pct is applied for deposits with terms of one to 12 months
~ short-term, for agriculture, export, supporting industries
DOLLAR June 1
Deposit ceiling 2.0
GDP, pct, y/y
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
5.03 5.89 6.78 5.38 6.18 8.48 8.17 8.44 7.79 7.34 7.08 6.89
_______2012________ _______2011________ _______2010________
Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
5.44 5.05 4.80 4.64 6.10 6.07 5.68 5.57 7.34 7.18 6.44 5.84
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, pct
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
9.21 18.58 9.19 6.88 22.97 8.3 6.6 8.4 9.5 3.0 4.0 0.8
____2013 _______________________2012_______________________
Jan Dec Nov Oct Sept Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar
y/y 7.07 6.81 7.08 7.00 6.48 5.04 5.35 6.90 8.34 10.54 14.1
m/m 1.25 0.27 0.47 0.85 2.20 0.63-0.29-0.26 0.18 0.05 0.2
NOTE: Annual inflation rates since 2012 are average.
Those in 2001-2006 were annual rates in December.
RETAILS SALES, pct, y/y
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
*18.0 16.0 24.2 24.5 18.6 31.0 23.3 20.9 20.5 19.4 18.8 14.5
*Jan 2013 Jan 2012 Jan 2011
8.1 22.0 22.1
TRADE ACCOUNT, in billions of dollar
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
*-9.9 +0.78 -9.84 -12.61 -12.87 -18.0 -14.1 -5.06 -4.31 -5.48
____2013 _________________________2012________________________
*Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May April Mar
EXP 10.1 10.35 10.35 10.32 9.5 10.31 10.2 9.9 9.7 8.962 9.48
IMP 9.9 9.86 9.95 10.17 9.3 10.26 9.6 9.5 10.2 8.959 9.05
BAL +0.2 -0.49 +0.40 +0.15 +0.2 -0.05 +0.6 +0.4 -0.5+0.003+0.43
(Figures for the latest month are rounded-up estimates)
INDUSTRIAL GROWTH, pct, y/y
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2011
4.8 6.8 14.0 7.6 14.6 17.1 17.0 17.1 16.6 16.8 14.8 14.6
2013 ______________________2012_______________________
IIP Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan
21.1 5.9 4.9 4.8 9.7 4.4 6.1 8.0 6.8 7.5 6.5 22.1 -2.4
Note: IIP: Index of industrial production, used from June 2011.
SOURCES: the government, General Statistics Office, c.bank
FORECASTS/TARGETS
GDP, pct 2013 2012 2011 2010
- Government/GSO 5.5 5.03 5.89 6.78
- ADB 5.7 5.1 5.9 6.8
- IMF 5.9 5.1 5.9 6.8
- World Bank 5.5 5.2 5.9 6.8
(The target for 2011-2015 is 6.5-7 percent/year, after growth
of 7 percent/year in 2006-2010 and 7.51 percent in 2001-2005)
CPI, pct 2013 2012 2011 2010
- Government/GSO 6.0-8.0 9.21 18.58 9.19
- ADB 8.6 9.1 18.7 9.2
- IMF 6.2 8.1 18.7 9.2
- World Bank 8.5 9.0 18.1 11.8
(Data from GSO, ADB and IMF are the average rates;
For 2013: the government's year-end projections)
MONEY AND CREDIT 2013 2012 2011 2010
MONEY SUPPLY (M2) pct *22.4 12.37 23.0
- IMF 21.6 12.1 33.3
- Change vs Dec '11 Nov *Oct Sep Aug July June May Apr
15.33 10.11 9.05 10.3 6.81 5.78 3.88 1.55
For Nov: as of Nov. 20.
CREDIT, pct 2013 2012 2011 2010
- C.bank/Govt *12.0 *8.91 14.41 27.65
- IMF 16.8 14.3 32.4
- Change vs Dec '11 *Dec Nov *Oct Sep Aug July June May
6.45 4.15 3.38 2.52 1.4 1.24 0.76 0.38
*Oct 12 Sept 12 July 12
- Value (trln dong) 2,939.98 2,915.7 2,880.1
DEPOSIT, pct 2012 2011 2010
- Central bank 27.2 26.98
- Change vs Dec '11 Nov Oct Sep Aug July June May Mar
15.98 14.02 12.7 11.23 9.39 6.49 5.42 1.39
BAD DEBT, pct of loans *Oct Sep Mar 2011 2010
- Govt/c.bank 7.87 8.82 8.6 3.07 2.16
Note: Banks said bad debt was 4.93 pct in Sept.
EXPORTS *2013 *2012 2011
- Government/GSO 126.1 10.0 114.6 18.2 96.9 34.2
- World Bank 129.5 14.2 113.4 17.0
IMPORTS
- Government/GSO 136.0 19.0 113.8 6.6 106.7 25.9
- World Bank 134.4 15.5 116.3 9.0
Note: For 2012-2013: Value ($ bln) Change (pct)
INDUSTRIAL GROWTH, pct 2013 2012 2011 2010
- Government 4.8 6.8 14.0
- World Bank 6.0 5.5 6.8 9.3
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE/GDP, pct
- ADB -2.0 -0.5 0.2 -4.0
- IMF -0.9 0.3 0.2 -4.1
- World Bank 1.3 2.7 -0.5 -4.1
OVERSEAS REMITTANCES, in billions of dollars
- Central bank/govt *9.5-9.6 10.0 8.4
FOREIGN CURRENCY RESERVES, in weeks of import
- Central bank/govt *12.0 7.5 12.0
- World Bank 1.5 1.5
NOTE: Government estimates: for 2012 by the year end; for
2011 as of the third quarter.
FOREIGN CURRENCY RESERVES, in billions of dollar
- Government/C.bank 19.0 9.0
- ADB (-gold) 17.0 13.8 12.4
- IMF (-gold) 19.0 13.5 12.4
- World Bank (+gold) 13.6 12.4
- Fitch (-gold) 16-17
NOTE: IMF: as of May 2011 and March 2010;
C.bank: as of June 2012 and Dec. 3, 2009;
Estimates by ADB and Fitch for 2012: as at March 31.
FOREIGN DEBT, in billions of dollar
- Govt/Fin. Min 61.9 50.0 32.5
- World Bank 59.8 54.7 50.1 45.4
FOREIGN DEBT/GDP, pct
- Govt/Fin. Min 43.77 41.1 42.2
- IMF 38.3
- World Bank 39.8 40.2 40.8 43.8
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT INFLOW, in billions of dollar
~2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003
10.5-11.0 10.5 11.0 11.0 10.0 11.5 8.03 3.96 3.31 2.85 2.65
~ Government target
MPI ($ bln) *January 13 January 12
New projects 0.257 0.065
Increased capital 0.024 0.096
Disbursement 0.42 0.40
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
MPI (pledges) *13-14 7.85 12.1 17.8 21.5 66.5 20.3 10.2
World Bank (inflow) 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.1 6.9 9.3 6.6 2.4
FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT, in billions of dollar
July 12 Dec 11 Sept 11 Dec 10 June 10 Dec 09 June 09
6.7 7.0 7.0 6.2 7.0 6.6 5.7
POPULATION (mlns)
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
88.77 87.84 86.9 86.0 86.2 85.2 84.2 83.1 82.0 80.9 79.7
URBAN UNEMPLOYMENT, pct
~4.0 3.6 4.29 4.66 4.65 4.64 4.82 5.31 5.60 5.78 6.01 6.28
NOTE: ~ government target
LONG-TERM RATINGS
2012 FC LC OUTLOOK
Moody's Sept 28 B2 B2 (bonds) Stable
- Country ceiling B1 Ba2
- Bank deposit ceiling B3 Ba2
S&P June 6 BB- BB- Stable
Fitch May 11 B+ B+ Stable
NOTE: FC: foreign currency; LC: local currency.
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(Compiled by Hanoi Newsroom) Keywords: VIETNAM ECONOMY/INDICATORS
(hanoi.newsroom@reuters.com +844 3825 9623)
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