

By Stanley White and Leika Kihara
TOKYO, Jan 11 (Reuters) - Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe
made his biggest push yet to make jobs growth part of the Bank
of Japan's mandate as his government approved $117 billion of
spending to revive the economy in the biggest stimulus since the
financial crisis.
Under intense pressure from Abe, the BOJ will likely adopt a
2 percent inflation target at its Jan. 21-22 rate review, double
its current goal, and consider easing monetary policy again,
most likely by increasing government debt and asset purchases,
sources told Reuters this week.
Japan's current account, which is normally in surplus, swung
to a rare and hefty deficit in November, which helped push the
yen to a 2-1/2 year low against the dollar and
highlighted the need to support the economy as exports weaken.
Abe's recipe to jolt Japan from years of deflation is big
fiscal spending and central bank purchases of government debt,
but there are risks as the country's debt burden is already the
worst among major economies.
'Bold monetary easing is essential in beating deflation and
a strong yen,' Abe said as he unveiled direct spending worth
10.3 trillion yen ($117 billion) on public works, incentives for
corporate investment and financial aid for small firms.
Taken together with spending by local governments and
private-sector firms, the size of the entire package was 20.2
trillion yen, according to government officials.
The government expects the stimulus to raise real economic
growth by 2 percentage points and create 600,000 jobs.
BOJ WANTS FLEXIBILITY
Abe has made aggressive monetary policy to end almost 20
years of deflation a top priority after his Liberal Democratic
Party (LDP) won elections last month.
In an interview with the Nikkei newspaper on Friday, he
repeated his calls for the BOJ to add job growth to its mandate
like the U.S. Federal Reserve, which is the only major central
bank that commits to boosting job growth as well as keeping
inflation in check.
The BOJ is strongly opposed to adding job growth to its
mandate for fear of binding its hands on future policy, although
it may accept a phrase in the statement that creating more jobs
would be a shared objective with the government, said sources
with knowledge of the negotiations on the statement.
'I think the BOJ can respond to Abe's calls on employment
within the existing framework of the BOJ Law by placing a little
more emphasis on employment in its forecasts,' said Hiroshi
Miyazaki, chief economist at Shinkin Asset Management in Tokyo.
'But when it comes to inflation, it's really hard to get
consumer prices to rise 2 percent in the short term. Prices lag
the economy by about a year and we've been in recession since
last year.'
The joint statement, now being negotiated by government and
BOJ officials, will likely include 2 percent inflation as the
bank's new target and a pledge to continue with aggressive
monetary easing to beat deflation, the sources said.
But it is unlikely to set a specific deadline for achieving
the target and leave the central bank some flexibility in
guiding monetary policy. The key would be how to phrase the
commitment as Abe told the Nikkei that such a target would be
meaningless if it had too long a timeframe.
The BOJ also hopes to stress in the statement the inflation
target is a long-term goal and won't be achieved unless monetary
easing steps are accompanied by government efforts to boost
growth potential such as deregulation, the sources said.
The public seems to agree that ending deflation will not be
easy.
A quarterly survey by the BOJ showed on Friday that 53
percent of the respondents expect prices to rise a year from
now, down from 62 percent in the September survey. Of the total,
38 percent expect prices to remain largely unchanged a year from
now, while nearly 8 percent see them falling.
EXTRA BONDS
Abe's calls for bolder BOJ easing helped the yen hit 89.35
per dollar on Friday, its weakest since 2010, and briefly pushed
down the 5-year government bond yield to 0.150 percent, within
sight of a record low hit in 2003.
But bond yields rose at the long end of the curve as the
government's plans for more public works spending meant it will
sell around 5 trillion yen more bonds than originally planned
for the current fiscal year.
The BOJ will remain vulnerable to pressure from Abe as his
government has the right to choose a successor to BOJ Governor
Masaaki Shirakawa when his term expires in April.
Kazumasa Iwata, a former BOJ deputy governor seen as a
strong candidate to head the bank, said that while the central
bank shouldn't be asked to achieve its price target by a certain
deadline, it should focus more on job growth.
'With flexible inflation targeting, one role of monetary
policy could be to limit how much prices and the jobless rate
deviate from a pre-determined level,' Iwata, who now heads a
private think tank, told a seminar on Friday.
'Looking at Japan, I don't think wages will improve much
unless the jobless rate falls to around 3.5 percent.'
The unemployment rate in December was 4.1 percent.
Haruhiko Kuroda, president of the Asian Development Bank
also seen as a possible BOJ governor candidate, was more blunt.
'It's important to commit to an unlimited amount of easing,
not a few trillion yen here and a few trillion yen there.'
($1 = 88.2000 Japanese yen)
(Additional reporting by Tetsushi Kajimoto and Kaori Kaneko;
Editing by John Mair & Kim Coghill)
Keywords: JAPAN ECONOMY/
(stanley.white@thomsonreuters.com)(+81 3 6441 1984)(Reuters Messaging: stanley.white.reuters.com@reuters.net)
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