

BUDAPEST, Feb 11 (Reuters) - Hungary's latest indicators.
(Last updated on Feb 8, with Dec trade balance.)
Base rate 5.5 pct (-25 bps on Jan 29)
2-week deposit rate 5.5 pct (-25 bps on Jan 29)
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GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT CHANGE (PCT)
Q3 2012 Q2 2012 Q1-Q3 2012
Unadjusted (y/y) -1.5 -1.5 -1.3
Calendar-adjusted (y/y) -1.4 -1.5 -1.4
Seasonally and
calendar-adjusted (q/q) -0.2 -0.4 N/A
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INFLATION (pct change)
Dec '12 Nov '12 Dec '11
Headline CPI m/m 0.0 -0.1 0.2
Headline CPI y/y 5.0 5.2 4.1
Core CPI y/y 4.9 5.1 3.3
KSH BREAKDOWN OF MONTHLY CHANGE
Food Alcohol Clothing Consumer Energy Other Service TOTAL
tobacco durables goods
2011
Dec 0.1 1.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2
2012
Jan 2.8 3.0 -2.7 -0.2 1.0 2.8 2.2 2.1
Feb 1.7 0.9 -0.6 0.1 2.7 0.2 0.3 0.8
March 0.8 3.0 0.9 -0.3 0.2 1.2 0.2 0.8
April 0.8 1.1 2.4 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.5 0.8
May 0.3 0.6 0.9 -0.3 0.1 -1.4 -0.1 -0.2
June 1.9 0.4 -3.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.3 0.7
July -0.2 0.5 -2.2 0.0 -0.3 -1.0 0.8 -0.1
Aug -0.9 0.5 -1.8 -0.2 -0.2 1.6 0.3 0.1
Sept 0.6 1.3 1.4 -0.2 -0.5 1.1 -0.1 0.4
Oct 0.6 0.5 3.0 0.1 1.0 -0.6 -0.4 0.1
Nov 0.7 0.8 0.5 -0.2 0.1 -1.6 -0.1 -0.1
Dec 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.2 0.2 -0.3 0.4 0.0
KSH BREAKDOWN OF CPI YEAR-ON-YEAR CHANGE
Food Alcohol Clothing Consumer Energy Other Service TOTAL
tobacco durables goods
2011
Nov 5.1 1.6 3.4 -1.4 6.3 8.6 2.5 4.3
Dec 4.6 4.1 2.5 -1.2 5.9 6.8 2.7 4.1
2012
Jan 5.5 6.7 2.8 -1.5 6.4 8.5 4.6 5.5
Feb 6.0 7.6 4.8 -1.3 8.1 8.7 4.5 5.9
March 4.7 10.8 3.6 -1.4 6.8 8.6 4.1 5.5
April 4.2 12.6 2.0 -1.2 7.0 9.1 4.2 5.7
May 4.1 13.2 2.0 -1.3 6.9 7.7 3.8 5.3
June -0.1 0.7 -0.3 -0.1 0.0 -0.4 0.5 0.1
July 6.1 14.1 2.6 -0.9 6.3 7.1 4.1 5.8
Aug 6.3 14.1 3.5 -0.8 6.2 7.9 4.1 6.0
Sept 7.5 15.6 2.5 -1.0 5.6 8.6 4.5 6.6
Oct 7.6 15.4 1.7 -1.2 5.0 6.4 4.2 6.0
Nov 7.1 15.0 1.5 -1.3 4.6 3.2 4.3 5.2
Dec 7.0 13.5 1.4 -1.8 4.7 2.9 4.5 5.0
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INDUSTRIAL PRODUCER PRICE INDEX DATA (pct change)
PPI Nov 2012 Oct 2012 Nov 2011 Jan-Nov 2012
y/y -2.9 0.2 8.0 4.8
m/m -0.7 -0.4 2.5 N/A
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INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT (pct change)
Dec 2012 Nov 2012 Dec 2011
Month-on-month (adjusted) -2.5 -0.4 -6.5
Year-on-year (adjusted) -3.4 -7.1 7.1
Year-on-year (unadjusted) -7.6 -7.1 2.4
NOTE: Month-on-month figures are seasonally and working day-adjusted. Adjusted
year-on-year data reflect the number of working days.
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UNEMPLOYMENT Oct-Dec 2012 Sept-Nov 2012 Oct-Dec 2011
Unemployed 10.7 10.6 10.7
(Pct of workforce)
Number of jobless 468,300 467,500 459,000
Employed 51.1 51.3 50.2
(Pct of workforce)
(million) 3.909 3.925 3.851
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Nov Oct Jan-Nov
GROSS WAGE GROWTH (Y/Y) 5.4 4.6 4.6
Private sector 6.2 8.3 7.2
Public sector 3.7 -4.1 -1.6
Ex-bonus private sector 7.2 8.7 8.1
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RETAIL SALES (pct change)
Nov Oct Nov 2011 Jan-Nov 2012
Month-on-month -0.4 -0.4 +0.1 n/a
Year-on-year -4.1 -3.7 +1.4 -2.0
NOTE - Month-on-month retail data are seasonally and working day-adjusted.
Year-on-year data are working day-adjusted.
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BUDGET BALANCE (in billion Hungarian forints)
Jan 2013 Jan 2012
Central state budget -90.7 85.3
Indep. govt funds 37.3 20.6
Social sec. funds 50.9 1.4
BALANCE -2.5 107.3
NOTE - The figures are preliminary, cash flow-based and do not include local
governments.
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CURRENT ACCOUNT AND FINANCING (in million euros)
Q3 Q2 Q3
2012 2012 2011
Trade of goods/services 2,281 2,165 1,661
-Goods 1,187 1,308 672
--Exports 19,163 19,343 18,600
--Imports 17,976 18,035 17,928
-Services 1,094 857 989
Income and current
transfers -1,502 -1,687 -1,333
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CURRENT ACCOUNT 780 478 328
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Capital account 556 482 747
Financial account -2,548 -1,446 910
-Direct investment 847 -530 -570
Abroad -294 -1,676 -247
In Hungary 1,142 1,146 -323
-Portfolio investments 1,962 -676 2,056
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KSH TRADE BALANCE (million euros)
Dec Nov 2012 Dec 2011 Nov 2011
192.3 659.5 6,929.6 300.5 693.4
NOTE: Figures from the Central Statistics Office (KSH). The Dec figure is
preliminary.
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CENTRAL BANK INTERNATIONAL RESERVES (bln euros, end-period)
Jan 2013 Dec 2012 Nov 2012 Oct 2012 Jan 2012
34.397 33.881 33.865 34.973 37.242
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LATEST TREASURY BILL AUCTION YIELDS (pct)
6-week 3-month 12-month
5.50 5.30 5.23
LATEST GOVERNMENT BOND AUCTION YIELDS (pct)
3-yr 2016/D 5-yr 2018/A 10-yr 2023/A 15-yr 2028/A
5.46 5.99 6.44 6.31
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HUNGARY'S SOVEREIGN RATINGS (Outlook in brackets)
Fitch Moody's S&P
(stable) (negative) (stable)
Short-term forint N/A N/A B
Long-term
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