

LONDON, Nov 5 (Reuters) - British manufacturing output rose
faster than expected in September, and at its fastest monthly
pace since July 2002, rebounding from August's sharp drop,
official data showed on Thursday.
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KEY FIGURES
SEPT AUG F'CAST
Manufacturing %MM 1.7 -2.0 1.0
Manufacturing %YY -9.3 -11.6 -9.7
Industrial %MM 1.6 -2.6 1.0
Industrial %YY -10.3 -11.5 -10.5
KEY POINTS
- Biggest monthly rise in manufacturing output since July
2002
- Biggest monthly rise in industrial output since July 2002
- The ONS said that quarterly 0.8 percent fall in industrial
output would not materially affect the GDP estimate for the
quarter, all other things being equal. Preliminary GDP data last
month showed that industrial output had fallen 0.7 percent over
the quarter.
ANALYST REACTION
PHILIP SHAW, CHIEF ECONOMIST, INVESTEC
'The rebound on the month in both manufacturing and
industrial output was stronger than expected, but downward
revisions to July and August mean that industrial production as
a whole contracted at a slightly quicker rate in Q3 than
initially estimated.'
STEPHEN LEWIS, CHIEF ECONOMIST, MONUMENT SECURITIES
'Looking at the longer term trends they are broadly in line
with expectations. But I don't think that's going to be make a
material difference to the GDP revision.
'Things have been very erratic and it's hard to say whether
this represents the beginning of a bounce back. The year-on-year
comparisons, of course, will improve because of base effects.'
ALAN CLARKE, UK ECONOMIST, BNP PARIBAS
'We had factory shutdowns in August and we've had a bounce
back from that. The fact that factories saw fit to have an
extended summer shutdown shows the sector is still fragile. So
it is recovering but it is still far from full fitness.'
Keywords: BRITAIN MANUFACTURING/ LOOK
(uk.economics@reuters.com, +44 20 7542-2774)
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