

By Masayuki Kitano
TOKYO, Nov 4 (Reuters) - Ten-year Japanese government bond
futures edged lower on Wednesday as traders returned from a
holiday, taking their cue from falls in U.S. Treasuries over the
past couple of trading sessions.
Cash JGBs mostly eased, although the benchmark 304th 10-year
bucked the trend and held firm, with market players saying the
benchmark bond was in demand in the JGB repo market, where
dealers can borrow bonds in exchange for cash.
Moves in JGBs were subdued overall, with market players
awaiting the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision later on
Wednesday and a 10-year JGB auction on Thursday.
'It is not as if people are trying to sell or buy very
actively. The market is a bit weak because of the declines in
U.S. Treasuries,' said Shinji Ebihara, a quantitative analyst for
Mizuho Securities.
Lead December 10-year JGB futures dipped 0.12 point from
their close on Monday to 138.15. The Tokyo JGB market
was closed on Tuesday due to a Japanese national holiday.
The benchmark 304th 10-year JGB dipped 1 basis point to 1.365
percent.
The 304th 10-year JGB may be attracting more demand from
investors compared to other bonds with similar maturities because
it is the newest issue, and that may be why that particular bond
is in demand in the repo market, said Ebihara at Mizuho
Securities.
Yields in other JGB maturities inched higher, with the
20-year yield edging up 1 basis point to 2.100 percent and the five-year yield clawing up 0.5 basis point
to 0.650 percent.
U.S. Treasuries have fallen this week, hurt by a
stronger-than-expected reading in the Institute for Supply
Management's factory index and as traders prepared for
Wednesday's Treasury refunding announcement and a Federal Reserve
policy decision.
JGBs have had some reprieve this month after they were sold
off in October, when they retreated on worries about the size and
details of debt issuance for the rest of this fiscal year and
next.
The benchmark 10-year JGB yield climbed 11 basis points in
October, its biggest one-month rise since May 2008, and hit a
2-?? month high of 1.425 percent last Friday.
The MOF said last week that it would increase its issuance of
JGBs to the market for the fiscal year to March 2010 by 2.1
trillion yen ($23.23 billion) to 132.3 trillion yen, to offset
weak demand for JGBs among retail investors.
Investors are bracing for the possibility of further
increases in debt issuance this fiscal year to offset an expected
tax revenue shortfall, although some analysts reckon that the
bulk of any extra issuance to the market may be concentrated in
short-term JGBs.
Japanese Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii reiterated on
Wednesday that the government would issue extra bonds to respond
to a sharp fall in tax revenues in the year to next March.
Fujii had already said the government could issue more bonds
for the fiscal year to next March as tax revenues are likely to
fall 6 trillion yen ($66 billion) or more below an initial
estimate of 46 trillion yen.
There is also uncertainty about the size and details of JGB
issuance to the market next fiscal year, which starts in April.
($1=90.38 Yen)
((masayuki.kitano@thomsonreuters.com; Reuters Messaging:
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Keywords: MARKETS JAPAN JGB
Double-click on brackets for following items:
JGB historical auction results
JGB benchmark data from JBTC brokers' broker
JGB composite data from Reuters
JGB long and super-long sectors (OTC)
JGB medium-term sector (OTC)
JGB futures composite
Japanese debt Speed Guide
Yen currency/swaps/derivatives Speed Guide
JGB closing prices/yields from brokers' broker
Lead 10-year JGB futures on TSE
10-year JGB futures on TSE (day session)
10-year JGB futures on TSE (night session)
10-year JGB futures on LIFFE
10-year JGB futures on SIMEX
10-year JGB future options on TSE
Tokyo Mitsubishi Securities yen bond index
TIFFE euroyen futures
SIMEX euroyen futures
CME euroyen futures
Yen OIS from Meitan Tradition
Yen OIS on BOJ meetings from Meitan Tradition
Yen OIS from Totan Capital
Yen TIBOR (Tokyo interbank offered rate)
Yen LIBOR (London interbank offered rate)
Yen interest rate swaps contributed
Yen interest rate swaps from Totan Capital
World yields summary
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